• Dave Schwartz
    234
    Using HSH's aML Object (Artificial Morning Line)
    5,000 Random races drawn from last 10,000

    Looking at the aML favorite in each race.

    Public Choice: Win Bets
    =======================
    PubCh    Starts     Wins    Pct      $Net    myPIV   myPExW
         1    3,280    1,318   40.2%    $1.67     1.00 1,314.10
         2    1,026      241   23.5%    $1.53     0.93   258.03
         3      451       77   17.1%    $1.48     0.92    83.38
         4      163       18   11.0%    $1.30     0.77    23.51
         5       56        5    8.9%    $1.60     0.77     6.46
         6       15        2   13.3%    $3.25     1.56     1.28
         7        6        0    0.0%    $0.00     0.00     0.32
         8        2        0    0.0%    $0.00     0.00     0.13
         9        1        0    0.0%    $0.00     0.00     0.05
    
     Total    5,000    1,661   33.2%    $1.61     0.98 1,687.25
    


    Does the aML predict the favorite?

    PubCh    Starts
         1    3,280     65.6%
         2    1,026     20.5%   86.1%
         3      451
         4      163
         5       56
         6       15
         7        6
         8        2
         9        1
                   
     Total    5,000
    

    #DailyStats
  • Jim Parker
    8
    I really like this info, and what's really great about it is that it can be calculated on any of the hundreds of factors that are in HSH
  • Dave Schwartz
    234
    This is also the answer to the question you posted from @stevekisslinger.
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