I've been using data mining techniques to create a playable system that's pretty straightforward but does require some data entry. I'll eventually incorporate ABBY into my research, but for now, I've exclusively used AI Handicap data. My results are based on 1,650 races. I excluded races with fewer than 6 entries, more than one first-time starter, and those held at a "minor" track. Below are the results from a held-out data set (not used to create the betting schema):
The results are acceptable to start using it live, except that only 1/3 of races yield a bet. I'm going to do some more research to increase the % of playable races, and anyone who wants to assist in this is welcome—up to three people.
Been playing live races with real money off and on for a few months now. But I've paused several previous trials because I did not deem myself as "ready for prime time". The concepts that Brian has shared with us recently appear to have enabled me to break through. In baseball parlance, the guy's stuff is filthy!
My focus until recently had been to identify races with a strong low odds horse that I could play "on" with exacta bets instead of against. My hit rate was pretty good (57 to 60%) but my average returns were mediocre. I was basically treading water for a few months.
The "Brian stuff" from the AI Assistant has now given me the confidence to identify low odds horses to play against. About 10 days ago I decided to sacrifice some hit rate in favor of better exacta payoffs. That trade-off is currently proving to be very profitable. My hit rate has dipped to 50% but I'm cashing some huge exactas- 3x last week in the $150-plus range and a monster $365 tonight at MNR.
It's all in the "base" AI Assistant and Brian's subsequent LH/BALO buttons. I've taken a closer look at pace and jockey/trainer than I had been previously and have tried to take some of Brian's concepts and make them my own. Been alot of work but what thing worth achieving isn't?
This recent progress has come without even diving into the latest upgrade. Looking forward to seeing what Abby can do!