How about Win%? The horse's Win% compared to the other contenders. The same with Place/Show%. Horses that consistently finish in the top three show that they are reliable and competitive-- have heart. Average Earnings per Start. Horses with high earnings per start-- again show that they have heart and like to compete.

i'm new at this kind of handicapping but---in the short time that I have with it I'm finding that the lower a horse's SR is (less than strength) and the higher his EPS is (within the top 4 of EPS) the more likely he will outrun his odds. (Improving horse). The reverse is also true: the higher a horse's SR is (within strength) and the lower his EPS signals an improving horse. (lots of people handicap BSR #'s)This past Preakness won by jornalism-the 9 horse(Gosger) had a horsestreet system BSR of 87 which was lower than all the others excepting #4 and 5) but he had an EPS that was ranked 3rd. He ran 2nd in a close finish. (just an example that it exists) note: I use BSR because I handicap from the DRF. I haven't done nearly enough handicapping like this yet to make a determination on this but I'll keep an eye on it. It's not an ultra rare occurance. From a value perspective- condition outperforms class

the movie Seabiscuit gives class example prior to buying. He (seabiscuit) was content to be alone and he didn't put up with any BS. Lookin em in the eye is overrated-you can't "look em in the eye if your not in condition

Bruno has a followup.
Heart connotes greatness. So, how is it defined and how to we
treat those who show it?

Writer: Bruno@Racingwithbruno
Bruno@Racingwithbruno
3 days ago
4 min read

"Ah… Hans Gruber. A name forever etched into cinematic infamy. The mastermind behind the Nakatomi Plaza attack—Christmas, 1988. A man of culture, intellect, precision. And like all great villains, cloaked his greed in the illusion of purpose. “Political demands,” he said. Ideology. Justice. When in truth, it was a heist. A masterstroke of manipulation, executed beneath the banner of misdirection.

But of course, he would have gotten away with it, were it not for the uninvited guest—the barefoot cowboy with a badge, John McClane. Off-duty. Outgunned. Outnumbered. But not outmatched. One man, armed with grit and good instincts, peeled back the layers of that façade and exposed what it truly was: not rebellion, but theft. Not cause, but cover.

Now, forgive the detour down memory lane, but it brings me, rather conveniently, to the Preakness Stakes.

You see, we’ve witnessed a similar brand of theater. A carefully crafted act—this time, not with explosives and hostages, but with hypocrisy. The race runs, the winner is crowned, and suddenly the air is thick with outrage, confusion, self-righteous calls for reform. Not because the sport needs it—but because the narrative does. And just like Gruber, they wrap their heist in noble packaging.

“Think of the horses,” they say. “This is about fairness,” they insist. No. It’s about control. It’s about influence. It’s about rewriting the rules after the fact because the outcome didn't suit the agenda. A heist, plain and simple—only this one’s not about bearer bonds. It’s about the integrity of competition.

They talk of spacing the Triple Crown, of protecting the breed, of evolving the sport—but what they really want is to reshape it in their image. They want the pageantry without the pressure, the spectacle without the stakes.

Well… I’m sorry, but greatness doesn't stretch to accommodate mediocrity. And real competitors don’t ask for the rules to change after they lose.

So, yes—Hans Gruber and the post-Preakness pundits share something in common: both engineered a lie disguised as righteousness. Both underestimated the ones who could see through it.

And both—if there’s any justice left—will be met not with applause, but with a slow clap and a locked vault.

Because what we witnessed at Pimlico wasn’t just a horse race—it was a cinematic climax, a third-act twist, an explosion of grit and guts wrapped in the silks of Journalism, a colt whose name now echoes like gunfire in the stairwells of racing history.

No one was thrown from a 30th-floor window. No machine guns emerged from the smoke and rubble. But make no mistake—there were fireworks. And the post-race fallout? Oh, it's been louder than a detonator on Christmas Eve.

Fines. Suspensions. Social media hysteria. The usual suspects. People calling for Flavien Prat’s head on a pike, blaming Rispoli for everything from the contact to the curvature of the rail. “He should’ve never been inside!” they cry, from the safety of their WiFi-enabled rocking chairs, as if Umberto was playing hopscotch instead of navigating a three-horse meat grinder at 40 miles per hour.

These critics—these self-appointed stewards of truth—are the Dwayne T. Robinsons of racing. Loud. Wrong. Unflinchingly confident in their complete misunderstanding of the moment. Deputy Chief of Dumb Opinions, if you will. They don't know dipshit from apple butter, but by God, they're going to tell you all about it… emphatically, in all caps, with gifs.

But here's the inconvenient truth no one wants to admit:

Rispoli was exactly where he needed to be.

Trapped on the rail, with Flavien Prat literally in his lap—boxed in, locked down. He had two choices: get out or go down. That’s it. No third option. No magic portal opening in the stretch. And so he moved. To save the race. To save the horse. And yes, maybe to save himself from a national catastrophe on live television.

Swinging wide? That would’ve been waving the white flag. He doesn't win from the parking lot. Journalism—a beast with fire in his eyes and something to say. And say it he did.

Shoulder to shoulder with Goal Oriented, Journalism shoved his way out like a champion, as if to growl, “Get off me,” though I'm sure the language in his head was a touch more… colorful. That wasn't reckless. That wasn’t luck. That was a horse refusing to lose.

And what did it take? Heart. Guts. And the kind of bond between horse and rider that can’t be taught in a classroom or a comment thread and especially from a lounge chair in your living room.

Let’s also not pretend this win was some fluke. Did you know that Irad Ortiz Jr., as celebrated and supremely talented as he is, has never won the Kentucky Derby or the Preakness? His two Triple Crown wins came in the Belmont Stakes alone. His brother Jose? A Preakness win with Early Voting, a Belmont as well—but both brothers? Still blanked at Churchill Downs.

And now? Umberto Rispoli—unheralded, underappreciated—has done what Irad hasn't: won one of the first two legs of the Triple Crown.

But instead of celebrating that—instead of elevating the moment—we're nitpicking, second-guessing, and dissecting with the surgical precision of a barroom surgeon.

Why? Because that’s what we do to greatness in this sport. We demand it. And then, the moment it arrives? We try to tear it down.

But here's what you need to remember:

Journalism exposed both sides of the story.

The critics. The doubters. The glory. The grit. At the final running of the Preakness at old Pimlico—a place dripping in legacy—we witnessed a champion refuse to fold. He overcame. He conquered. And whether you're a believer or a cynic, you're going to remember his name.

Because this—this was not just a race. It was Die Hard on dirt.

And Journalism? Ah… yes. Journalism was John McClane—barefoot, bloodied, and bellowing “Yippee-ki-yay, mo-f@@r."


Why do we do it?? Is it human nature? Jealousy? Not sure!!