Could Chad Brown be the key to both Aqu P5's today?
Chad Brown, one of the best trainers in the world, may hold the key to both P5's at Aqu today. In Race 5, Chad trains Excess Demand, a $400k sales purchase in Sept 2021. Chad's horses always get bet and that's what we're hoping for today as we will try to beat this likely well bet favorite.
It's hard to find chinks in his armor, but Chad has less than stellar statistics when his FTS run in claiming races. In fact, over the past 5 years Chad has not had a winner under the following circumstances:
FTS running in a claiming race
On the NY circuit
On the dirt
going 1 mile or longer
It's hard for me to support a favorite under those circumstances. So I'll be looking to back a few lightly raced rivals with some upside instead.
If I'm wrong it won't be the first or last time Mr. Brown will beat me. Good luck to all!!
I didn't have a chance to look until late in the day. Apparently your logic was good. Horse was a vet scratch. I agree with your approach. I look at the auction price and the claiming price.
At least Chad Brown didn't beat me today!! lol
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