SAR 27AUG2023
R2 - #1 Amanda's Folly - $6 show - No show wagering due to scratches
R3 - #6 Spirit of St Louis - $12 show - 2nd +0.60
R5 - #8 Whatlovelookslike - $12 show - Out
R9 - #1 Weekend Rags - $6 show - Out
R10 - #2 Maker's Candy - $6 show - Out
R11 - #6 Autumn - $12 show - Scratched
Rough day-- -$23.40. Got too aggressive and overconfident. Wagered on too many higher-class races with several good trainers and good trainer/jockey combinations in each race. Good trainers usually send well-meant horses, and if your selection is even a little bit short that day, or encounters trouble-- even place and show wagers are in doubt.

SAR 27AUG2023
R2 - #1 Amanda's Folly - $6 show
R3 - #6 Spirit of St Louis - $12 show
R5 - #8 Whatlovelookslike - $12 show
R9 - #1 Weekend Rags - $6 show
R10 - #2 Maker's Candy - $6 show
R11 - #6 Autumn - $12 show

Yes, but only for a few days. Right now-- I like to track and review different handicapping factors and groupings. Lately-- high trainer win %, high trainer/jockey win %, high earnings per start, high class rating and high horse win and in the money percentages. Have been using Worth's (TIPS) earnings and class calculations. Horses that rank high in these categories do go off at low odds, but seem to consistently finish in the money. In the Saratoga discussion, I put picks last week for Wed, Thu and Fri. Next is trying to determine if vertical or horizontal wagers will work versus simple W/P/S.

1. I take notes by hand. I usually don't sit and wager. I simply jot down picks, wagers and notes on a piece of notebook paper. Move on to other things or fold it up and put it into my backpack. Then review the next day. But I'm a causal horse player.

One more time today. SAR 25AUG2023
R1 - #16 Global Perspective - $12 show - 1st +$1.20
R2 - #3 Vax - $6 place & $20 show - 1st +$7.00
R7 - #3 Headland - $12 place - 2nd - $1.80
R8 - #1A Olkovskha - $6 show - Scratched
On the day-- +$10.00. Wed, Thu, Fri-- +$37.50. No wagers tomorrow-- going to the OTB.

One more time today. SAR 25AUG2023
R1 - #16 Global Perspective - $12 show
R2 - #3 Vax - $6 place & $20 show
R7 - #3 Headland - $12 place
R8 - #1A Olkovskha - $6 show

Try again today. SAR 24AUG2023
R2 - #7 Instamatic - $12 show - 2nd +$2.40
R3 - #6 Kuramata - $6 show - 3rd +$0.30
R4 - #3 Classic Mark - $6 show - 1st +$1.20
R9 - #4 Fluffy Socks - $12 show - 2nd +$15.60
1/2 wagering choices in R9-- both out. On the day-- +$19.50.

Try again today. SAR 24AUG2023
R2 - #7 Instamatic - $12 show
R3 - #6 Kuramata - $6 show
R4 - #3 Classic Mark - $6 show
R9 - #4 Fluffy Socks - $12 show

Let's see how this goes. SAR 23AUG2023
R3 - #1 Mid Day Image (entrymate Cazadero) - $6 show - Out
R4 - #1 Mission Hill - $6 show - Out
R6 - #3 Mischief Joke - $6 show - 2nd +$0.60
R7 - #8 Sy Dog - $6 win & $20 show - 2nd +$5.00
R8 - #4 Rockstar Red - $6 show - 2nd +3.00
R9 - #6 Radio Red - $6 show - 3rd +$3.60
R10 - #5 Love Mami Love - $6 show - 3rd +$7.80
Hurt by slow start, on the day-- +$8.00.

Let's see how this goes. SAR 23AUG2023
R3 - #1 Mid Day Image (entrymate Cazadero) - $6 show
R4 - #1 Mission Hill - $6 show
R6 - #3 Mischief Joke - $6 show
R7 - #8 Sy Dog - $6 win & $20 show
R8 - #4 Rockstar Red - $6 show
R9 - #6 Radio Red - $6 show
R10 - #5 Love Mami Love - $6 show

SAR 26JUL2023
R2 - #4 Silk Trade (Out)
R4 - #3 MaryQ (Out)
R5 - #1 Quality G (2nd)
R6 - #1 Ichiban (1st)
R7 - #8 Arrest Me Red (2nd)
R8 - #2 Amanda's Folly (1st)
R9 - #4 Siempre Elegante (1st)
R10 - #11 Your Mission (Out)
Slow start, good middle, poor finish.

SAR 26JUL2023
R2 - #4 Silk Trade
R4 - #3 MaryQ
R5 - #1 Quality G
R6 - #1 Ichiban
R7 - #8 Arrest Me Red
R8 - #2 Amanda's Folly
R9 - #4 Siempre Elegante
R10 - #11 Your Mission

Let's try again today. BEL R7 #2 Tommy Gun (ML 10-1). NY Bred ALW. Tommy was claimed back-to-back in his last two races of 2022. Returned for Maker off the long layoff and won by +8 lengths. Has consistent good early speed. Three nice workouts since the last race. Jose takes over for his brother who's on the ML second choice. Question the added furlong, but maybe Maker knows something, or he feels this 7-furlong field came up softer than any 6-furlong races that were available. Tommy should be in contention early and looks to take the lead at the head of the stretch and hold on.

Bet down to 5-1. Broke slowly and settled down near the back of the pack. Maybe because of the outside post? Thought he would be up closer on the pace. Gained ground around the turn and strong kick in the lane. Nosed out the favorite on the wire. Training double for Weaver on the day.

Let's try again today. BEL R3 #9 - Provision (ML 10-1). CLM30000nl2, no real standouts. NY bred returns to NY and drops in class. Nice string of works since return to BEL. Three 2nd's out of 5 starts on the turf. Not a fan of the post, but Pro has the tactical speed to get out and stalk on the pace. Franco won on Pro back in December, so he knows the horse. Like his chances to finish in the money and pull the upset if others don't fire their best.

Tough call for me. Bob did get cut-off at the start, but he also broke slowly where it looked like the #4 simply broke out into the open lane in front of Bob (but Bob did have to pull up some). Quite a few gate works tells me that they know that he doesn't break from the gate very well. Poor trainer win percentage (2 for 48), plus the jump in class. The trainer also has the #9 in this race. Maybe underneath 3rd or 4th in verticals. Good luck.

Confidence Game and Two Phil's-- sticking with my first two choices. Oaks/Derby Doubles with #6 / #7 / #10 / #14. Like the #6 Botanical in the Oaks. Like Two Phil's-- tapeta to dirt. On or near the front, and breeding suggests she can get the distance. Oaks/Turf/Derby PK 3 with #6 / #8 / #9 / #10 in the Turf Classic. Like the #8 Santin in the Turf Classic-- 2nd off layoff. Also, keeping with the tapeta theme. Maybe wrong, but the last race looks like a setup for this race. Did not go to FG and stayed at TP to train and the one race. Returns to CD with Tyler. Going to my local OTB Saturday and will finalize my Derby exacta's and tri's then. Everyone have fun.

Thanks Ranch. So two P's to E/P; and no E/P's to E's. Quite the conundrum.

I haven't finalized my selections yet, but I'm looking at a few medium or even high-priced horses. Two Phil's and Confidence Games so far.

I'm thinking it's a trick question-- so Race 2. Guessing one of the ES78's presses the other initially out of the gate, so much so that the horse being pressed makes the lone lead at the 1st call. The one ES78 horse breaks and then waits for competition that isn't there, isn't really pressed, and never gets the lone lead.