Okay. While modeling, I was wondering if the results would hold up at other tracks. Looks like you're getting similar results using SAX which is good news.

Is the 20 races a mix of tracks or only tracks that you play? The modeling I completed used BAQ, GPX, WOX, FLX, MVR and PRX. Curious if you were using different tracks.

Finished with modeling. Maybe get back to it in the next few weeks just to see if there's any significant changes. I used Brian's spreadsheet, but I tailored it towards what I wanted. So it's a little different.

"L-0: No low odds horses." 12 of 30 winners were BH Rank 1. Again keyed by LP, SR and Spd. The BH Rank 1's are strong contenders. Average win payouts in the L-0's was about $12.58. There were 6 +$20 winners in this category.

"L-1: 1 horse <2.91-1." This is by far the largest category. BH Ranks 1 and 2 were winning at 28.9%. Again, LP, SR and Spd. Also, E and EP not far behind. BH Rank 1's were winning at 28%. Seems a good handicapping strategy would be to ignore the BH Rank 1's, or only include them if they are very strong. Even then, look to adjudicate them if they are ranked low in trainer, jockey and/or condition (or whatever factors you like to use).

"L-2: 2 horses <2.91-1." BH Ranks 1 and 2 won at 53.8% of the time. Again-- LP, SR and Spd work well. Noticed that BH Ranks 2 with E and EP together work well. Also, BH Ranks 1 and 2 won the same number of races at 26% each. Note: 50% of the winners-- tTrk (Trainer at the Track) were Rank 1 or 2.

If any questions, please let me know.

Thanks Dave, gave me another idea to add to my handicapping approach.

Thanks. Plan to check out a few more races next week. Not sure if it matters, but I've been modeling only the 3-4 tracks that I wager on.

Excellent videos Dave!! If you had told me that PSR Rank 1 horses that are NOT 1st or 2nd Public Choices only win at 12.2%-- I would not have believed you. The same with FTBL2 and FTB2L3.
Also, "Horses bet down to the Favorite are better bets than horses that were projected to be the Favorite to begin with".

Yes, it's there. Jumping into the first video now-- thanks.

From HDW-- "Currently our website is down, we are hoping to have it back up in the next couple of weeks. If there is anything we can help with, please let us know. We can be reached at (859 800-5513)."

FYI. I just sent an email checking to see if they still have the website.

Yes and no. Usually there are multiple horses that are High Rank 1 and/or 2 LP/SR rankings. The results I posted were from one day and they were not "single" High Rank 1 and/or 2 LP/SR contenders. So you can use this to separate contenders. It is something I like to use when I handicap.

Did you click Settings and re-type the old factors you want to use in the 5 fields? Then click on AI Agents and then click on abPACE. The factors should be the new ones that you typed in.

I have the Tie Breaks setup in the Settings for Abby Pace (not a separate report).

Here's several nice low odds winners from yesterday Tuesday 02SEP2025 that I call "strong LP/SR" contenders from Abby Pace. High Rank 1 and/or 2 LP/SR rankings. Since these are strong LP/SR, they're going to be low odds contenders. Remember, if the race Pace designation is E or EP, make sure the contender's ES is NOT 0 or 1. ES 0/1's do not win that many E or EP races.
BTP R1 - #4 $5.40
BTP R7 - #3 $5.80
BTP R8 - #3 $9.20
FLX R4 - #8 $4.04
FLX R5 - #7 $6.68
FLX R6 - #2 $6.66
FPX R3 - #2 $5.20
FPX R4 - #2 $7.60
FPX R8 - #2 $5.60
IND R2 - #7 $7.00
IND R3 - #5 $7.40
PRX R9 - #5 $9.00
PID R3 - #3 $6.60
PID R4 - #4 $4.20
LAD R5 - #2 $4.40
There were also 13 other sub-Even$ winners that I didn't bother to list.

Honestly, I haven't looked at the abRx/abRY (found in BR2 button) that closely. I checked several races from yesterday, and you're definitely on to something here. This is a very good BALO determinator.
I do use Abby Pace. From the other post-- watch the video "Detailed Abby Instruction Wednesday 08-20 Meeting". It's very good.
Here's the Tiebreakers I've set up.
280 - FTBL3
214 - Earnings/Start
36 - Jockey Rating
1,630 - Trainer/Track
12 - Condition
A couple of observations. I like to review the Abby pace rankings like in the video. Pay attention to contenders that are Rank 1 in both LP and SR, even in "E and EP" designated races unless their ES points are 0 or 1. These contenders may not rank high early because of their running style, but they stay close enough to the pace. For example a contender with an ES 5 and there's 6, 7 or 8's in the race. The contender does not rank that high early, but the ES 5 keeps him in contention.
A tie breaker I like to look for is a Trainer/Track Rank of say 5 or 6 and a Jockey Rating of 1 or 2. You have a good contender with not the best trainer, but one of the best jockeys. Could work well in Exacta place tickets since it may signal that the trainer is going for purse money.

Guessing there's a lot of reasons. Here in Illinois, Wisconsin and Indiana we have casinos (with shows). Reasonably priced weekdays, not so much on the weekends. There's also on-line sports gambling. Was Vegas fueled by the Baby Boomers and now that's slowly going away? Seems a lot of my friends 20-30 year old kids have it tough financially with high housing costs and taxes. Not much if any extra income for gambling let alone Vegas. As we talked about before, not many young people learned card games, craps, roulette, horse racing, etc growing up. They have no idea how to play these casino games and don't seem to be interested in learning. Maybe like horse racing, there's no younger bettors to replace the older ones.

Hi Tim. Is there a key component that you would like to share? Also, you have three selections each race. Do you then narrow it down to one pick (the 1st) or dutch two of them? Wasn't sure your wagering strategy once you got it down to the three selections. 1st pick did well at SAR. Rained out at GPX.

HDW is working on it-- should be up shortly.

goforginatcomcastdotnet

Yes, I'm interested in assisting with the research. I'm working on a small research project using the AI Assist_B-, but it's only for GPX. However, I think the findings will carryover to other tracks. Maybe we can leverage a what I'm finding to your research.

60 race test from yesterday afternoon Saturday 24MAY2025. No maiden races or races with 4 or fewer horses.
d's: <=1.21. 17 winners
L's: <=1.99. 2 winners (d & L's - 31.6%)
m's: >=2.00 and NOT Natural Odds. 26 winners
H's: = Natural Odds. 15 winners (m & H's - 68.3%)

The d's and L's had a much lower hit rate. Guessing because it's Saturday with larger and more competitive fields. The m's or middle AI Line horses did very well. However, with larger fields, there's more m's contenders.