• Dave Schwartz
    234
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    • How well do Quirin Early Speed Points predict the 1st call positions?
    • How do Early Speed Points correlate to Running style?


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    QUIRIN EARLY SPEED POINTS: Predicting 1st Call Leaders
    DIRT RACES – 5 TO 9 furlongs		(3 years – 48,693 races)
    All ages, race types, fast tracks, field 5+	No races with FTS or Entries
    
    ES Pts   Starts   Pays    Pct   $Net     IV    PIV   AvPay AvOdds AvPubC     
    0        77,308  7,679    9.9  $1.38   0.75   0.97  $13.94   6.93   5.00     
    1        13,365  1,567   11.7  $1.49   0.91   1.03  $12.70   6.13   4.79     
    2        40,441  5,095   12.6  $1.52   0.94   1.01  $12.07   5.52   4.54     
    3        52,354  6,858   13.1  $1.50   0.98   1.01  $11.49   5.26   4.44     
    4        44,285  6,134   13.9  $1.52   1.02   0.99  $10.97   4.83   4.25     
    5        51,293  7,626   14.9  $1.52   1.09   0.99  $10.23   4.43   4.07     
    6        38,560  6,107   15.8  $1.55   1.15   0.99   $9.80   4.09   3.88     
    7        23,747  4,134   17.4  $1.56   1.26   1.00   $8.95   3.69   3.65     
    8        19,540  3,559   18.2  $1.56   1.31   1.02   $8.59   3.54   3.57     
                                                                    
    Total   360,893 48,759   13.5  $1.50   1.00   0.98
    
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    ENTIRE SERIES HERE

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