Comments

  • Trends
    It would be a very cool thing to have done by someone but I believe Jim Mazur already does that for meet-specific handicapper books that focus on the best 100+ trainers during the Last 3 or L6 meets depending on the meet

    There are 5 different products that he sells on Saratoga alone for stats
    1) Saratoga Handicapper- Covers L3 meets on Post Positions/Running Styles 40% Club (trainers w/ stat that is 40% winners+) Profiles on the top 20 trainers and 80 mini profiles on the rest of the trainers plus more

    2) Blue Chip Trainer Plays- These are angles specific to the Saratoga meet that trainers have shown but there are specific criteria to follow:
    The trainer must have maintained a 12% winning average at the last three meets.
    • The angle had to score at least 3 times with 3 different horses.
    • The angle had to score at least once at the previous meet.
    • The angle had to produce a 33% win average and a 100% ROI.

    3) and 4) Saratoga Handicapper Stats L3 Years and PLUS Handicapper L6 years- Breaks down 100 trainers who were shown in the Handicapper book that covers all the stats you need to know about that trainer and how that trainer does in a specific category SPECIFIC TO SARATOGA NOT OTHER TRACKS! For example, did you know that Jorge Abreu during the L3 years at Saratoga with horses off 90+ days has hit a 12% clip (2 for 17) with an Itm rate of 29% BUT during the L6 years he is actually hitting at 17% (5 for 30) 37% Itm? You wouldn't know if you didn't have both books on hand!

    5) Saratoga Handicapper Trainer Detail- Lists the 100 trainers (I believe) from the books above with each trainer's horses that ended up winning with their specific info (LR raced days off surface joc, etc)

    It would still be a very cool idea for someone to do but if you wanted to take the guesswork out of the stats I would highly recommend Jim Mazur's products!

    He covers Saratoga/Churchill Downs (Spring)/Del mar/Oaklawn/Keeneland Spring-Fall/Gulfstream Park/Belmont Spring-Fall as well as info for the Triple Crown/Breeders Cup and his Pedigree information!
  • What Makes a Good Handicapping Show?
    Andy Serling is the best handicapper on the NYRA broadcast and Anthony is the best handicapper for media content and promotions in my opinion
  • What Makes a Good Handicapping Show?
    An excellent handicapping show to me is:

    *The show is reasonable in length and they spend a few even minutes on each race (especially the 2yo's stakes etc) I like to see at least 1 hour plus a few min before 1st post

    *You have knowledgeable handicappers on set (either former jockeys/trainers/owners or just handicappers in general) and typically 1 to 3 at best more than 3 makes it really crowded and probably more focused on the "better" handicapper opinion over the others

    *You break down each race as much as possible taking notes of each horse with their respective positives (jockey switch cutback distance etc) and negatives (hates sloppy track has a poor record on Turf etc) so the viewer knows what to look out for and what to REALLY look out for in terms of the negatives

    *You watch replays of the horses (going back to the negatives) of the ones who had troubled trips and explain why that start means improvement today

    *You help the newbies pick out good races to bet their money on and also help them with wagers (advice) or even put up the best chance to bet on

    *You give detailed notes on track bias/ j-t-o standings/troubled trip notes or whatever info is good for the public to know about like even how far the rails are out on the turf and if the track has been graded etc

    *Finally you have online access to the show via YouTube or Twitter/Facebook once the show is done and have links to your handicapper's important handicapping info if they provided them on the air and put up on the track's website for future use

    Basically, I am looking for a Good time that is all lol

    If the show has just selections without backup, what value does that give to the public to make betting choices?

    I probably missed something up there, but that sums it up well! I hope this helps Dave :)
  • Ranch is doing okay!
    I am now walking as much as 1200 feet at a time. They’re talking about releasing me on 10/3. I am very much looking forward to getting out of here.RanchWest

    Great news! That's about 1 furlong and 180 yards!
  • Ranch is doing okay!
    Prayers were answered thank you God and Dave for the update on Ranch

    Ranch take it easy my friend we will be waiting for you on your return to the forum!
  • 2022 Contest Saratoga Final Week (week 8) ( Aug. 30 - Sept 5) Includes Monday racing
    Hoping all goes well with your bypass surgery today Ranch!William Zayonce

    Wishing the same Ranch

    Hoping everything goes over well and you can be on the road for a speed recovery!
  • 2022 Contest Saratoga Final Week (week 8) ( Aug. 30 - Sept 5) Includes Monday racing
    I think Jack should be refered to from now on as.....FLIGHTLINE! LOLTom

    19 1/4 lengths at least in front of the rest of us!

    I wonder if Jack is good at picking NFL winners as I will try to have a contest this year for that
  • Saratoga 2022 Selections Thread
    Here are my totals for the 2022 meet at Saratoga

    29 days played/40 days of racing

    306 Races
    80 Winners on top (26.1%)
    211 Winners listed in the Top 4 (68.9%)
    130 Exactas hit in the Top 4 (42.4%)
    63 Trifectas hit in the Top 4 (20.5%)
    20 Superfectas hit in the Top 4 (6.53%)

    Top Pick Betting Results
    Bet: $612.00
    Ret: $522.20
    P/L: -$89.80

    It was a very fun meeting with a lot of days being profitable which helped a lot
    Thanks to everyone who viewed my selection posts and (possibly) won with them! I appreciate it very very much! Until next year Saratoga! :)

    Next up: Breeders Cup then OAKLAWN PARK!
  • 2022 Contest Saratoga Final Week (week 8) ( Aug. 30 - Sept 5) Includes Monday racing
    SAR 9/5

    Race 3
    #5 8/5 $20 WIN

    Thank you Ranch for holding this contest and keeping track of the scores! Got 1 more play here let's see if we can (hopefully) add onto our total today!
  • Saratoga 2022 Selections Thread
    Today's selections for Closing Day 2022 9/5 are posted below!

    Last day's results: 8 winners listed 4 on top with 5 exactas and 2 trifectas!
    Attachment
    Saratoga 9_5 (30K)
  • Saratoga 2022 Selections Thread
    Today's selections for 9/4 are posted below!

    Last day's results: 11 winners listed 4 on top with 6 exactas and 3 trifectas!
    Attachment
    Saratoga 9_4 (29K)
  • Saratoga 2022 Selections Thread
    Today's selections for 9/3 are posted below!

    Last day's results: 5 winners listed 5 on top with 4 exactas 2 trifectas and 1 superfecta!
    Attachment
    Saratoga 9_3 (30K)
  • Saratoga 2022 Selections Thread
    No Saratoga Selections 9/1
    Very very busy day tomorrow and won't be around to do my selections in am
    I will definitely be back on Friday so stay tuned!
  • 2022 Contest Saratoga Final Week (week 8) ( Aug. 30 - Sept 5) Includes Monday racing
    Thank you. They're going to check out my heart. Hopefully I'll be better soon.RanchWest

    Too bad they did have one of those heart monitor things on you for testing (just for actual health reasons) but if I were the doctor and saw some skips in heartbeat or rapid beats I would have said to you "Hmm you must be in a handicapping contest where you have picked the winners but also had a small case of 2nd-itis in a few of the days on it too! I will prescribe you some positive pills so you can make some good $$$$$ and also some anti-2nd-itis pills so those horses actually come home vs 2nd place"

    Fingers crossed for good news!
  • 2022 Contest Saratoga Final Week (week 8) ( Aug. 30 - Sept 5) Includes Monday racing
    Sorry, i missed your win in R4. You are in the plus column!RanchWest

    I will be in the hospital on Thursday and will not be able to keep score until some point later.RanchWest

    No worries thank you very very much for changing that around! I appreciate it big time!

    Hope all is well Ranch with your health thinking of you tomorrow my dear friend :)
  • 2022 Contest Saratoga Final Week (week 8) ( Aug. 30 - Sept 5) Includes Monday racing
    Hi ranch can you please check my totals again not sure if they are right or not when I am calculating them. Sorry to be a pain just wanted to know if my calculations were way off or not. Thank you