• Steven
    111
    This is a question, not a how-to.

    There is a slight chance that Kentucky may get sports betting out of this years legislative session. EVERY state that adjoins Kentucky has sports betting except Missouri so we're losing tens (maybe hundreds) of millions of dollars of revenue to these states.

    If we get sports betting, I would like to be able to take advantage of it but I'm not a big sports buff and have little to no idea of how to handicap a sports game. I don't want your sports betting secrets if you have a successful system but how did you learn to do what you do and where can I go to learn something about handicapping?

    And of course, thank you in advance ever if all you say is "don't bet sports".
  • RanchWest
    423
    If you have multiple options, go with the outlet that offers the line or odds that are most favorable to you on a specific game.

    If you are going to beat the line, you either need to study extensively or be really, really, really lucky.

    And, don't be afraid to take on a contrarian attitude when appropriate.
  • Jim Pommier
    29
    Illinois got sports betting a few years ago. I opened an on-line account with FanDuel. I'm a casual bettor. No system or secrets. Wager on the Super Bowl, World Series, the Masters, etc. Just so to have a rooting interest in the big events. For me, it's more of an "entertainment" wager.
  • Dave Schwartz
    237
    I've made only a handful of sports bets over the years.
    Of course I've made the perfunctory Playoffs & Super Bowl bets, but only when we were watching in our favorite casino Sports Bar (where everybody knows your name).

    I've been right almost as often as wrong in those bets. Which means, I am a LOSER at it. LOL

    But one belief I have always had is about overtime games. Whenever we've been watching games live, and they accept bets before overtime, AND the spread is large, I always take the favorite,

    This is in every sport!

    My theory - and ANECDOTAL OBSERVATION - is that when a BIG dog manages to give the fav a battle to the wire, only to come away with a tie... the often visible attitude is sort of, "Oh well. We ALMOST had 'em," and the team leaves its game on the bench.

    Anyone else ever noticed how often Favs cover in OT when the spread is large?
  • Steven
    111
    If you are going to beat the line, you either need to study extensively or be really, really, really lucky.RanchWest

    That's what I was afraid of. I don't enjoy sports enough to study extensively and I am not really, really, really lucky. I was hoping for a mechanical system that would win 45 - 55% of the time and then use money management to try and be profitable. So of make it a craps game with 50-50 odds (minus the take of course).
  • Dave Schwartz
    237
    That's what I was afraid of. I don't enjoy sports enough to study extensively and I am not really, really, really lucky. I was hoping for a mechanical system that would win 45 - 55% of the time and then use money management to try and be profitable. So of make it a craps game with 50-50 odds (minus the take of course).Steven

    Coin toss.

    You're welcome. :joke:
  • Steven
    111
    Bets anything else I could come up with.
  • RanchWest
    423
    Both sports betting and horse parimutuels are designed to balance the money wagered across the options. So, if you are looking for casual fun, Dave is right, coin toss. If you are looking to make real money, you need to be at least 20% better than everyone else. More if it is horse exotics.
  • andicap
    1
    VSIN.com is an interesting video streaming service all about sports betting. They offer picks, but its really the little tidbits you pick up that are helpful and fun. The site also offers stats and other info. There's an app for your phone and an audio only stream that lets you listen to replays of recent shows. Its useful around the NCAA tournament since I like to bet a few games and I don't really follow college basketball. If you pay $2.99 a month, you get access to their full video library and other features. I'm not a big sports bettor but the hosts are interesting and offer various viewpoints on wagering.
  • Dustin Korth
    49
    I'm just a casual sports bettor, pretty selective though (couple games per weekend). I have no statistics or tracking but I feel like I've done pretty decent with some of these go-to's you could consider.

    For favorites,
    1. Vegas knows what they're doing. Unranked teams favored over ranked teams are pretty much an automatic bet for me. And even not so much have to be ranked but think..."teams that should be perceived as inferior" being favored over "teams that should be perceived as superior."

    For dogs,
    1. Anytime a team gets the chance to rally around a new leader. Most often it's a back-up QB making his first start.

    2. Facing a team bouncing off a huge win. I can't even count the amount of times in any sport I've seen a team upset #1 in the country only to lose to an unranked the next game.

    Also, I'll add...
    If Team A beat Team B and Team B beat Team C...then Team A should beat Team C, right? Nope, doesn't work that way in horse racing, doesn't work that way in Sports, either.
    At the end of the day, sports are about match-ups in a way that horse racing can be (pace scenario, form cycle, trips, etc).
  • RanchWest
    423
    Dustin, good thoughts. in a similar vein, in sports with limited scheduling, such as football, it is tough to beat the same team twice in one year. Of course, there's a lot more that goes into it, but having beaten a team already doesn't make them a lock to do it again.
  • Conley
    402
    I am no professional sports bettor but if anyone wanted to ever know how to create your own Power Ratings or make a line I am wanting to have a live Zoom so that everyone can see how I do it
  • Dave Schwartz
    237
    if anyone wanted to ever know how to create your own Power Ratings or make a line I am wanting to have a live Zoom so that everyone can see how I do itConley

    That would be a cool event.

    POWER NUMBER creation always interests me.
  • Conley
    402
    That would be a cool event.

    POWER NUMBER creation always interests me.
    Dave Schwartz

    I have no date planned but someone in April for sure
  • Dave Schwartz
    237

    I think a great way to do that would be a ROUND TABLE.

    We put in a panel of guys.
    You are the primary speaker.
    I am the moderator.

    You present.
    We all ask questions.

    It is recorded, then we make it available to everyone else.
  • Steven
    111
    I would be down for that especially if Kentucky finally passes a sports betting bill.
  • Colty
    3
    I'd really look forward to the sports panel idea.
    Even better if it could be a regular event.

    I really only bet the NFL. The other sprots just take so much effort to keep up.
  • Conley
    402
    I think a great way to do that would be a ROUND TABLE.

    We put in a panel of guys.
    You are the primary speaker.
    I am the moderator.

    You present.
    We all ask questions.

    It is recorded, then we make it available to everyone else.
    Dave Schwartz

    Great idea(s) Dave!

    Would definitely have to sort this out and finalize everything but I think I could pull it off

    Now the panel of guys who would know WAY more than I would about sports betting would be hard to get
  • Dave Schwartz
    237
    Now the panel of guys who would know WAY more than I would about sports betting would be hard to getConley

    Interesting.
  • Conley
    402
    Interesting.Dave Schwartz

    It's just that I don't know a lot of people who would want to be on my "Round Table" that's all
    2 people I would die to have on the table would be Jay Kornegay and also Steve Makinen
  • Dave Schwartz
    237
    It's just that I don't know a lot of people who would want to be on my "Round Table" that's all
    2 people I would die to have on the table would be Jay Kornegay and also Steve Makinen
    Conley

    That makes much more sense than what you originally posted. :up:
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