One was a lack of early speed and the other was Jockey/trainer combo (but only on weekdays).

Dave/Ranch,

I COMPLETELY agree on this principle. We should be heavily researching the races with a positive expectancy (to draw from my financial background). Everyone on the forum would immediately turn into a winning player if they mastered the "BA LO horse" and Dave you should copyright/patent your term for this situation!

I once helped a guy structure a P3 ticket:
All-5-All twice
All-5-3 twice
All-5-4 twice
He hit it 4 times. The horse in the middle leg was Easy Goer, who won with win odds of 2/5 against 3yo's after beating older two weeks earlier (as sure as it gets). The P3 paid $1,600 (x4). So, this guy got better than 13/1 on a 2/5 horse. — RanchWest

WOW nice story! Thanks for sharing it.

Team,

What a diverse group of programmers. YEAH. I am proficient in Excel, Access and VBA. I hope I fit in with this group of tech nerds. Will trade programming for baby food (or more likely handicapping help) but I am only fluent in English. I hope you appreciate the humor.

HAHA try getting that tune out of your head.

I can do all you ask above plus VBA coding to customize Excel or an Access database. I was a software consultant for 20+ years.

No problem you have a lot on your plate. I can see clearly now... the rain is gone. Thanks!

Great points Tony.

I wanted to ask you if your bets (Win% and ROI) in the vulnerable favorites races is higher than when a there is not a bad favorite? I know you are not a win bettor but maybe you have records. Thanks!

Dave,

My eyes are not what they used to be, but I can't seem to see it under Categories or anywhere else. Thanks!

What's needed is a "What LOSES at you track" mindset but qualified by 3/1 or less. Then the game's expectancy changes.

The whale's rake is much smaller. The track's take is way too much!

To be competitive the whales must PLAY (roughly)...
85% of all tracks
85% of all races at those tracks
85% of all the pools in those races

Typically, whales lose in December & January - yet to keep their deals, they have to keep their handle up to their norms. — Dave Schwartz

AND

They just make huge bets, aiming to break even or make a small profit. They make their profit from rebates. — RanchWest

AND

If you had (say)...
20 people doing studies for you
5 statistical analysts (Master's Degrees or PhDs)
2 quants
20 people to watch races and fire the bets
4 programmers — Dave Schwartz

Maybe we should be thankful for the whales keeping our game alive. Seems to me like they are the equivalent of market makers in the stock market, taking a small percentage in exchange for keeping the order flow liquid.

I also feel there is a way to exploit this SOMEHOW. Not sure how yet but think about it, all the human resources, capital and still they have two losing months and depend on rebates to profit in the long run.

I have a friend who uses Value Capper and Pace Plus in combination and does great.

How close is "The Studio" to being completed?

I prefer numbers. The plot is too much graphically. I know you didn't ask me.

Handiman,

Boy, you are showing your age.

IMO it would have been difficult to repeat his KD performance and I appreciate an owner and trainer being on the same page with respect to a horse's welfare.

I am not sure if anyone has visited Pimlico recently (I went out there on Thursday), they were using a crane to install the annual black screen (1/2 the length of the stretch) to hide the outdoor grandstand seats, I used to love sitting there back in the 70's. It's a real shame they get a TC race.

Dave,

I would be interested. I love to learn new things.

Ranch,

So, you had ANOTHER winning day? Very NICE. I am trying to decipher your shorthand.

Ranch that is AWESOME. Enjoyed the fact that you found YOUR way and are willing to share it!