Comments

  • early speed favoring tracks and surfaces?
    The "definition" is a tough one to me. Cheaper tracks (PEN, CT, MNR, etc) seem to have the most powerful early speed numbers. But, we also know that in cheaper races, with cheaper horses, early speed will dominate the most. Soooo, I'm not sure how you dig into all of that, and separate it out, to know the "true speed"
  • Do you live bet? If so, how?
    Yea....I hear ya. Angles worked a lot longer back then. The advancement of technology makes it much easier and quicker to backtest and find things now, so the market now adjusts much quicker as well....it's a VERY different game ;)
  • Do you live bet? If so, how?
    Ohhh...ok. Yea, that did work for awhile. But like almost any angle, whether sports or horses, they dry up eventually. That's an old pro angle that was good back in the day, yup! ;)
  • Do you live bet? If so, how?
    Tulsa won the half! OMG.....93 yard drive in the last 38 seconds to go from 7-13, to 14-13! WOW.....I never gets breaks like that! LOL
  • Do you live bet? If so, how?
    Tulsa lost the 1st half...was -500 at one point in the 2nd quarter...and lost....welcome to my world...LOL
  • Do you live bet? If so, how?
    Touchdown Tulsa...haha
  • Do you live bet? If so, how?
    Another fun fact....the most successful/sharp live bettors, are usually also financial traders of some sort. Stocks, Crypto, Real Estate, etc.... It doesn't take rocket science to figure out why that is ;)
  • Do you live bet? If so, how?
    Got Tulsa 1st half at +105....was -150 at kickoff....Memphis got a drive down and stalled....FG attempt coming....MISSED! Value achieved! Now we get the ball at 0-0 at + odds for originally a -150 bet. Win or lose...THIS WAS A GOOD BET NOW! ;)
  • Do you live bet? If so, how?
    Gonna live bet this 9PM Tulsa/Memphis game on ESPN2....closing line is Tulsa -3. When I live bet...I usually bet underdogs on quarters or a half when the "buy low" scenario looks good...that's what I'm reading that the sharps do mostly....
  • Do you live bet? If so, how?
    No....I tried to google....it wasn't very helpful...do tell :)
  • Do you live bet? If so, how?
    I'll have to search for stats about OT in those sports. I never live bet that late(unless the book has made a glaring and obvious mistake). I seriously doubt there is any kind of angle there. But, I find things that shock me all the time, when it comes to data/stats. Soooo....I hope to find something concrete concerning that observation! ;)
  • Do you live bet? If so, how?
    This is a scenario which I was eluding too. A game with tight odds, that looks to go back and forth. It's a "buy low" strategy, and it's viable. But you really have to be sharp and disciplined to win like this. If not, you will get rolled in no time. That's why Live Betting still exists, because 95% of these live bettors are just "chasing" what they see on TV, which is a sure fire way to get smoked! But if you can be sharp at it, and do somewhat the opposite of those squares, value and opportunity are there! ;)
  • Do you live bet? If so, how?
    Those spreads with extra or less juice are simply because the algorithm is in a situation where the betting has moved the line a little, but not enough to justify the a half point movement. There is nothing there you can use as a betting angle there. ;)
  • 2021 Keeneland Fall Season
    And that's why so many bettors love it I think...when it's that hard for even the most sophisticated bettors and/or software programs to figure out...it's a good sign of a great betting product, at least for "weekend bettors". They love big pays....
  • Sports Betting Books
    $500 in 1973 buys a nice car...that's wild for a speed reading session!
  • Sports Betting Books
    1700?! That's insane! Holy cow! You just nailed something I think. I haven't really thought about it until know....but I can flow through ebooks MUCH faster I think. I think that might be a HUGE key to what happened. Actually, I'm almost sure it is! I can't really explain it scientifically...but the differences in how we read now (e-reading), I think has actually changed almost everything for me. I would be SO VERY intimidated by a large book in my younger days, or a humongous text piece, I avoided it like the plague! I don't really have those feelings on a Tablet or Smartphone. It's a different ballgame for me. That has to be a significant part of this whole deal for me....now that you have me thinking about how different it is, for me! ;)
  • Sports Betting Books
    I use to be very slow actually when I was young. It would take me weeks to read a book just a couple of hundred pages. I've even avoided books/text of length because of it for a long long time, whether it was/is some form of LD, I don't know. For whatever reason, I can go though books/text now at a pretty good clip as of late it seems, and I have no idea how that happened. So...I am on a "mission for information" as of late, whatever I can find easy and cheap, LOL. I will take one of those tests, I know there are some on the interwebs here, I'm going to Google that. I'd like to see what the improvement is myself....now that you mention it! ;)
  • Hey, it's Chuck
    Unfortunately no, we can only bet into the separate Pari-Mutual pools, which are run by Sky Racing World, at most all the major horse betting sites in America.
  • Hey, it's Chuck
    Thanks. No, there is no fixed odds available for horse racing in the US. New Jersey use to have Betfair, but they pulled out, didn't get enough action there to financially justify staying in operation there. Except for a couple events the sportsbooks are willing to put fixed outs out for, like the Kentucky Derby, Breeders Cup Classic, etc. But, I have figured out some things in watching the odds boards on Australia, it tells you more about who is live and who isn't, much more so than the para-mutual totes tell you. Not saying it can make you rich. But, it can allow you to have some fun and either break even, or scrounge out a small profit.
  • Sports Betting Books
    I've learned a lot about how the sportsbooks operate. How they all are not the same. If you are only playing at one two sportsbooks, you are doing it wrong. Reading the market and dissecting the square money from the sharp money is difficult. I need to learn how to be on the "sharp side" more. And I need to learn what the "sharp sides" really are. I thought both books were good. I still need suggestions from the "sharps" in here, on what to read next. I can go through a book quite fast, so the more the better :)