Race 3 $ 10.00 win # 9 Grand Journey
$ 10.00 win # 6 Attentive
Race 7 $ 10.00 win # 1 Goddess of Fire
$ 10.00 win # 6 Favor
Race 10 $ 10.00 win # 5 Fast Corey
$ 10.00 Win #10 Dame Time

thanks Ranch

Vulnerable ML 6-26-22 from above posts 19 Races 14 non -winners 14-5/2 and under 10 Non-winners

Bel Race 1 :-4 Grudge Won 7/5
Bel Race 3 : 4 Tiergen Place 4/5
Bel Race 5 : 10 Blissful ChangeOut 5/2
Bel Race 7 : 5 Deep Cover Place 1/1
Bel Race 8 : 7 Bank Sting 2-1 Won 4/5
CD Race 8: 1 Minute Waltz- Out 2/1
GP Race 7: 4 Chucky Out 7/2
Lrl Race 2: 13 Fomo Out 3/1
Lrl Race 3 : 2 Middle Island Out 6/5
Lrl Race 5 : 1 Loyne Won 6/5
Lad Race 5: 6 Rooster Run4/5 out
Lad Race 7: 7 Cool Catomine 5/2 won
Mth Race 3: 5 She Broke My Heart Show 2/1
Mth Race 8: 2 Jolly Heretic Show 6/5
Mth Race 9: 9 Ballagh Rocks Out 8/1
WO Race 1: 3 Pacenza Out 4/1
WO Race 2: 4 Master Spy Place 5/2
WO Race 4: 10 Souper Watson Won 7/2
WO Race 8: 8 Maclean's Posse place 4/5

some without explanations
CD Race 8: 1 Minute Waltz- Hanger
GP Race 7: 4 Chucky
Lrl Race 2: 13 Fomo
Lrl Race 3 : 2 Middle Island
Lrl Race 5 : 1 Loyne
Lad Race 5: 6 Rooster Run
Lad Race 7: 7 Cool Catomine
Mth Race 3: 5 She Broke My Heart
Mth Race 8: 2 Jolly Heretic
Mth Race 9: 9 Ballagh Rocks
WO Race 1: 3 Pacenza
WO Race 2: 4 Master Spy
WO Race 4: 10 Souper Watson
WO Race 8: 8 Maclean's Posse

Vulnerable ML 6-26-22 Belmont
Pre-scratch ( scratches will need adj)

Race 1 :-4 Grudge 5-2 Early horse that isnt quickest early will not have finishing kick
Contenders: 1,2,6
Race 3 : 4 Tiergen 7-5 Negative drop
Contenders:1,3,4
Race 5 : 10 Blissful Change Likes dashes wont like the 7f and will use energy from the outside
Contenders: 8,5,6
Race 7 : 5 Deep Cover 2-1 fights for early lead and fades
Contenders:1,6,3
Race 8 : 7 Bank Sting 2-1 figures to be bet down and doesn't look better then a few here
Contenders: 3,6,1

Welcome Ray, a great interview by Dave with Ray on Pace makes the Race. https://pacemakestherace.com/interview-dave-schwartz-interviews-ray-wallin/

Nice call Tony- just passed tiring horses for 2nd

4-2-22

Aqu Vulnerable ML Fav

Race 3: #5 I'm Fine (2-1) slow and doesnt like to win

My hats off to ranchwest who picked that 7- well done

Not often a ML 30-1 wins on a NYRA track lol. Hat's off to anyone who had it

Wow 5 was the best horse in the race (didn't win but up on lead dropped way back and came flying

Race 8 guessing they're all over the 5 because of Chad Brown, don't like the ML fav-would go 1& 3

Vulnerable Favorites Aqu 4-1

Race 2- #6 Cross island (2-1) not as fast as others
Race 6 - #4 Daddy Knows (9-5) running hard last three- others faster
Race 7 - #5 Actuary (2-1) layoff

Here are my statistics from 2015 through 2021 November. Tracks followed Aqu,Bel,CD,Dmr, FG, GG, GP,Haw,Kee,Lad,Lrl,Mth,OP,Pim,Parx,Sa,Tam and Wo. First set of columns shows percentage that win. Here I'm looking for under 25%. Second set of columns show how many plays. In the process of breaking it out by track so taking excel course:grin: Again this is really only the starting point. Still need to find the winner.

Tony looking at your excel I would think you have a great eye for choosing vulnerable ml favorites. Your excel shows 88% of your tosses are below 4-1 final odds. The linemaker in NY is pretty good at his job. I think you are pretty wired in here at NYRA which is probably why you are making your living here. Even more impressive is from the look of it your doing it without a database. Continued good luck or good skill !

AQU-07 #6 Pretty Clever- finished 3rd off at 2/1 favorite
AQU-09 #1 The Right Path - finished 3rd off at 5/2 2nd choice
CD-06 #6 Ram - finished 2nd off at 5/2 co-favorite
DMR-06 #11 Chollima-finished 1
DMR-08 #5 La Pulcinela finished 1
GP-03 #5 Afficionado - finished 2nd off at 2/1 favorite
GP-05 #4 Truly- finished 4th off at 9/5 favorite
GP-07 #6 Kozy Dreams out off at 5/2 2nd choice
HAW-01 #3 Nofansinthestands - finished 3rd of at 7/2 3rd choice
HAW-02 #6 Go Stormin Girl - finished 3rd of at 4/1 was co-favorite up until loading
HAW-05 #7 Driver Dan finished 2nd favorite
HAW-06 #4 Will Knows out was 2nd choice
HAW-07 #3 Two Worlds out
HAW-08 #7 One Way Home- 1
HAW-09 #8 Ripe Attack out
LRL-02 #1 Hope Has A Name - finished 1 off at 2/1 favorite
LRL-05 #3 Fearless Lassie - finished 2 off at 5/2 2nd choice
WO-02 #1 Bachelor Pad- finished 1
WO-08 #8 Carl G 1
19 tosses 6 of which won

Thank you Tony for insight into your ticket structuring.
These will be the races i will be looking at today. All these ML Fav based on my database should have odds of 7/2 or higher. If they go off lower I toss them from consideration.

AQU-07 #6 Pretty Clever
AQU-09 #1 The Right Path
CD-06 #6 Ram
DMR-06 #11 Chollima
DMR-08 #5 La Pulcinela
GP-03 #5 Afficionado
GP-05 #4 Truly
GP-07 #6 Kozy Dreams
HAW-01 #3 Nofansinthestands
HAW-02 #6 Go Stormin Girl
HAW-05 #7 Driver Dan
HAW-06 #4 Will Knows
HAW-07 #3 Two Worlds
HAW-08 #7 One Way Home
HAW-09 #8 Ripe Attack
LRL-02 #1 Hope Has A Name
LRL-05 #3 Fearless Lassie
WO-02 #1 Bachelor Pad
WO-08 #8 Carl G

Per Predictform website From 4/20/15 Double Top Pace Top (DTOP) the Top Contender

Total entries-34,787
Ave Odds 4.4
Wins 9,143
Win % 26.3
Win Roi -16.2

Excellent, looking forward to the rst!

11-6-21 Vulnerable ML Favs
Bel Race 2 - #4 Lookin to Fly - Out
Bel Race 4 - #4 Somelikeitbrown - 1
Bel Race 5 - #3 Uncle Gem - Out
Bel Race 6 - #1 I Love Jason - Out
CD Race 3 - #1 Big Nick - Out
CD Race 9 - # 1 Allege - Out
CD Race 10 - #8 Mucho - 2nd
GP Race 3 - #3 Emoji Guy - 1
GP Race 7 - #6 Uhtred - 3rd
GP Race 9 - #7 American Prince - Out
GP Race 10 - #3 King of Dreams - 1
LRL Race 5 - #8 Bahama Channel - Out
Wo Race 7- #11 Avies Samurai - Out
Wo Race 8 - # 5 Tecumsehs War - Out
Wo Race 10- #2 If Si Was Nine - 2nd
WO Race 11 - #8 Stencil - rd

Listed 16 ML Fav's tossed- 3 winners 13 Non winners