• Conley
    424
    2022 ROTD Thread

    Day #5
    Santa Anita Park R8 F Santa Ynez Stakes G2 7 Furlongs Dirt PT: 7:06pmEST

    :3: Big Switch 9/5
    Winner of now 2 in a row exiting the Golden State Juv at Del mar on Nov 5th of last year where she won going away by 2 3/4 lengths; This is the first time that 'Switch gets to face Graded Stakes company but I don't think she will have any trouble with this short field today; Highest last race speed rating with a sharp 5 Furlong workout on the 2nd going 5F in 1:00:2 and also Johnny V has been a hot hand as of late with a record of 15-7-2-2 in the last 7 days; If Sadler has this horse positioned correctly then she can be lights out heading for home

    :1: Under the Stars 8/5
    Baffert dropped this filly to the lowest level of her career where she won comfortably by 3 lengths; Another horse to step up to 1st time Graded Stakes where Baffert does well in that statistic (26%/59%); When she raced her the last time in her 1st start she was 4 wide but managed to gain late in the race to finish 3rd by 3/4 of a length; Another hot jockey aboard 'Stars today with Flavien Prat having a record of 21-8-8-2 in the last 7 days; Hits the board

    :6: Miss Mattie B 5-1
    I had a hard time deciding who to take for 3rd selection between 'Mattie and :5: AWAKE AT MIDNYTE but ended up taking 'Mattie in the end; This filly out of Tonalist broke her maiden last time out with a hard pressed start-to-finish where she ended up winning by 3 3/4 lengths; She gained 6 points in her speed figure from 2 back and again another horse to step up to Graded Stakes 1st time; Trainer Robert Hess Jr statistic for Maiden win L/R is 22%/52% with an ROI of +1.17!; Hoping that the value is there today and expecting to get around 7-1

    Win :3:

    Exacta Box :1::3::6:
  • RanchWest
    503
    1/8 SA R8 3 5 1 4
  • Conley
    424
    :3: Big Switch ran on well around the whole ran flattened in end finished 4th

    :1: Under the Stars put in a game effort from start to finish 1st $3.80

    :6: Miss Mattie got the odds we wanted + that and ran good to finish 3rd
  • Conley
    424
    2022 ROTD Thread

    Day #6
    Santa Anita Park R7 F G3 Las Cienegas Stakes About 6 1/2 F Dirt PT: 6:35pm

    :2: Hear My Prayer 2-1
    Shipping in from Del Mar where in her last race she managed to close from 6th at the top of the stretch to finish 3rd by only 3/4 of a length in a NG Stakes going 5 Furlongs; Sure the horse might not have started in 2 months but there are a lot of positives to like here; Highest last race speed rating along with Best Turf Speed is fastest vs today's starters including a Sharp 5 Furlong work on the 2nd in 59:3 and finally a Hot Trainer/Jockey combo in the last 14 days (2-2-0-0); 1st time trying the downhill turf here at Santa Anita but should be no problem to handle here today

    :3: Constantia 5-1
    She was off slow in her most recent start where she raced 2 wide and tried to angle out late but finished a distant 6th by 6 3/4 lengths; Ships into Santa Anita here where she has done very well at with a lifetime record of 10-4-1-1;
    She also cuts back from 8 Furlongs (1 mile) and ties :2: 'Prayer for the Best Turf Speed which is fastest among today's starters; Rispoli stays on as the regular rider and Sadler hoping for another good showing where she has done well both at Santa Anita and on the Downhill Turf; Price hopefully there

    :5: Beautiful Gift 8-1
    This filly out of Medaglia d'Oro has done well with all of her finishes in the top 3 until last time out where she was running 3 wide early on in the race but flattened out coming for home to finish 7th by 21 lengths; Ignore that race and you have a good contender here even with the layoff for 90+ days (Baffert is 29%/62% with those horses); Baffert cuts this horse back to the 2nd sprint race of her career and picks up new jockey Drayden Van Dyke for today's race; The Dam Sea Gift has produced 2 turf winners and also Baffert is hot right now with a record of 22-10-3-4 in the last 14 days; Another horse we are hoping to get a good price with here

    Win :2:

    Exacta Box :2::3::5:
  • William Zayonce
    40
    This is a tough race and I cant argue with any of your choices, however ,Im looking to the other Sadler horse ( #8 Gold For Kittenl) to get the trip and run them down in the lane.
  • RanchWest
    503
    I liked 2 7 8 6, haven't checked the results yet.
  • RanchWest
    503
    Finished 7 1 2 6
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