• Tony Kofalt
    277
    I've had few forum members reach out asking me to post some simple plays at Aqu. They were interested in DD's and Exactas. So for the balance of the Aqu meet I will post and track performance on a play or two each day at Aqu. I will employ my strategy when tracking results. Let's see how we do.
    Good luck
  • Tony Kofalt
    277
    Suggested Aqu play 1-1-22

    Race 4-
    $2 DD 1,3 with 1
    $4 DD 5,6 with 1
    Total Bet $12
  • William Zayonce
    22
    A good start Tony! Nice catch!
  • Tony Kofalt
    277
    Total wagered- $12
    Total Collected- $46
    Profit/Loss- +34
    Suggested Play for 1-2 Aqu
    Race 1- $2 DD 2,4 with 4,7 = $8 total
  • Tony Kofalt
    277

    Thanks Bill- we'll do this exercise through at least the end of Aqu. Hopefully we can demonstrate:
    1) Racing can be profitable
    2) My slow progression wagering plan outperforms flat bet wagering.
    Let's enjoy the ride
  • RanchWest
    277
    Tony, I am not familiar with the term "slow progression wagering plan". Can you tell a little about this?
  • Tony Kofalt
    277

    Hey Ranch- my money management methodology is built around the session concept that I learned from Dave years ago. I utilize a very conservative 5% session meaning the of my entire gambling BR I keep 5% active at any time. I play with that 5% until I lose it or I double it.
    While playing in a session I 'raise' the number of units I bet per race after a series of loses, thus the progression part of the wagering. But I raise the number of units wagered slowly. For example, if I would lose 3 units in a race I would not necessarily increase my bet size on the next wager. I don't double down after a lose. I put together a fairly simple (and common sense to me) algorythm in the 1990's that I still use to me. Thus the term 'slow' progression. It'd like 2am so I'm a little blurry eyed. Please let me know if you'd like me to clarify in any ways.
  • RanchWest
    277
    Thanks. I have heard of similar approaches, so I understand what you are saying. I would think it is a sound approach.
  • William Zayonce
    22
    Tony Kofalt
    [My slow progression wagering plan outperforms flat bet wagering/quote]
    I'll be interested to see how this strategy differs substantially from increasing bet sizes on your strongest plays.
  • Tony Kofalt
    277
    Let's take a look at Penn National tonight!!

    Last wager= -$8
    Total wagered- $20
    Total Collected- $46
    Profit/Loss- +26
    Flat bet P/L= +26

    Race 1 at Pen- Nimitz Class $8 win
  • Tony Kofalt
    277
    Let's take another swing at Penn National. Back to Aqu tomorrow

    Total wagered- $28
    Total Collected- $68.40
    Profit/Loss- +40.40
    Flat bet P/L= +40.40

    Race 6- Pit Stop Money $4 win
  • Tony Kofalt
    277
    Sorry for my absence guys. I'm back in action!

    Last wager= +$14.40
    Total wagered- $28
    Total Collected- $68.40
    Profit/Loss- +40.40
    Flat bet P/L= +40.40

    Aqu for 1-22
    Race 1- $6 DD 1 with 2
    $2 DD 2-3-5 with 2

    Race 2- $4 DD 2 with 1-2
    $2 DD 2 with 5-6
  • RanchWest
    277
    Welcome back, Tony!
  • Tony Kofalt
    277
    Last wager= -$24
    Total wagered- $52
    Total Collected- $68.40
    Profit/Loss- +16.40
    Flat bet P/L= +16.40

    Play for 1-27 Aqu
    Race 5- $2 DD 1,4,6,8 with 8
  • Tony Kofalt
    277
    Last wager= -$8
    Total wagered- $60
    Total Collected- $68.40
    Profit/Loss- +8.40
    Flat bet P/L= +8.40

    Play for 1-28 Aqu
    Race 5- $6 Win 6
    Race 5- $1 Ex 3,5,7 with 6
  • Tony Kofalt
    277
    Last wager= +23.75
    Total wagered- $69
    Total Collected- $101.25
    Profit/Loss- +32.25
    Flat bet P/L= +32.25

    Penn National 1-28
    Race 1- $3 DD 2,3 with 2,5
  • Tony Kofalt
    277
    Last wager= -12
    Total wagered- $81
    Total Collected- $101.25
    Profit/Loss- +20.25
    Flat bet P/L= +20.25

    2-3 Aqu
    Race 3- $3 DD 1,4,6 with 2
  • ziggy
    0
    hey tony first time on the site i played your selection i also ex box the 256 in r4
  • Tony Kofalt
    277
    Hey Ziggy, welcome aboard. I try to post a selection each racing day at Aqu. Usually keep it very simple with either a win wager, daily double or exacta. Hope you enjoy playing along
  • Tony Kofalt
    277
    Last wager= -9
    Total wagered- $90
    Total Collected- $101.25
    Profit/Loss- +11.25
    Flat bet P/L= +11.25

    2-4 Aqu

    Race 5- Lost Anchor is the speed and will offer a generous price.
    $4 win 3
  • Tony Kofalt
    277
    Last wager= -4
    Total wagered- $94
    Total Collected- $101.25
    Profit/Loss- +7.25
    Flat bet P/L= +7.25
    2-5 Aqu
    In Race 8 I'm leaning against the 2 favs so we'll play a few DD's in races 8 and 9.
    Race 8
    $2 DD's - 4-6-8 with 3,5,6,10
  • Tony Kofalt
    277
    Last wager= -18
    Total wagered- $112
    Total Collected- $101.25
    Profit/Loss- -10.75
    Flat bet P/L= -10.75

    Race 7- $8 win 3 , $2 Ex 1,2,6,8 with 3
  • Dustin Korth
    43
    Race 7, I'm a win bet on that #3 as well. New Pace Top runner. Let's get it home Tony
  • Dustin Korth
    43
    Ha just realized that pick was from yesterday. Oh well, for what it's worth #3 in the 7th for me today.
  • Tony Kofalt
    277
    Last wager= -16
    Total wagered- $128
    Total Collected- $101.25
    Profit/Loss- -26.75
    Flat bet P/L= -26.75

    Aqu 2-10
    Race 4- $8 win 6
  • Tony Kofalt
    277
    Last wager= -8
    Total wagered- $136
    Total Collected- $134.85
    Profit/Loss- -1.15
    Flat bet P/L= -1.15

    Aqu 2-11-2022

    Race 1- $6 win 2
  • Tony Kofalt
    277
    Last wager= -6
    Total wagered- $142
    Total Collected- $134.85
    Profit/Loss- -7.15
    Flat bet P/L= -7.15

    Aqu Race 5-
    $6 win 5
    $1 ex 2,3 with 5
  • Tony Kofalt
    277
    Last wager= -9
    Total wagered- $151
    Total Collected- $134.85
    Profit/Loss- -16.15
    Flat bet P/L= -16.15

    Race 3- $8 win 5
    Race 3- $1 P3 5 with 1,2,6,7, with 2

    Race 8- $5 win 2
  • Tony Kofalt
    277
    Last wager= +0.25
    Total wagered- $168
    Total Collected- $152.10
    Profit/Loss- -15.90
    Flat bet P/L= -15.90

    Selection for 2-18
    Race 5- $5 win 6
  • Tony Kofalt
    277
    Last wager= -$5
    Total wagered- $173
    Total Collected- $152.10
    Profit/Loss- -20.90
    Flat bet P/L= -20.90

    Aqu 2-19
    Race 6- $1 P3 2,3,6,7 with 1,3 with 4
    Race 6- $1 P3 2,3,6,7 with 3 with 4
    Race 6- $1 P3 2,3 with 1,3 with 4
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